KRO vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Thursday, June 29, 2023 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Krzysztof Kasprzak0 3 0 W3
- 10Andzejs Lebedevs3 1 2 2 3 011
- 11Mateusz Świdnicki1 01
- 12Vaclav Milik1 1 2 u4+1
- 13Jason Doyle3 2 2 3 0 212
- 14Krzysztof Sadurski1 1 1 2 2 18+2
- 15Denis Zieliński2 0 02
- 1Leon Madsen3 3 1 3 313
- 2Maksym Drabik0 1 3 3 29
- 3Kacper Woryna2 2 3 1 19+2
- 4Jakub Miśkowiak2 3 0 16
- 5Mikkel Michelsen2 2 1 3 08
- 6Franciszek Karczewski0 D 00
- 7Kajetan Kupiec3 0 14
Heat by heat
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Mateusz Świdnicki · KRO1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KRO0
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE3
- Denis Zieliński · KRO2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO1*
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE0
- Jason Doyle · KRO3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Maksym Drabik · CZE0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO1
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZED
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · KRO0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Jason Doyle · KRO2
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1
- Denis Zieliński · KRO0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KRO3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Jason Doyle · KRO2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KRO0
- Jason Doyle · KRO3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO2
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE1
- Denis Zieliński · KRO0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Jason Doyle · KRO0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO1
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Jason Doyle · KRO2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 18 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h W
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| KRO | CZE | KRO | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 6 | 3.9 | 8 | +4.1 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 8.5 | 11 | +2.5 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 11.8 | 13 | +1.2 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 8.3 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Kajetan Kupiec | 3 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Vaclav Milik | 3 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Denis Zieliński | 3 | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 2 | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 12.3 | 12 | -0.3 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 4 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 4 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 10.0 | 8 | -2.0 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 3 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.