TOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 19, 2022 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Jack Holder2 0 2 2 0 39+1
- 10Robert Lambert3 3 1 2 3 113+2
- 11Paweł Przedpełski0 2 1 2 3 210+3
- 13Patryk Dudek3 1 3 3 2 214+1
- 14Denis Zieliński1 2 03+1
- 15Krzysztof Lewandowski3 0 14
- 1Jason Doyle1 1 3 3 3 3 317
- 3Jaimon Lidsey3 2 2 2 1 1 011+2
- 5David Bellego0 1 1 0 13
- 6Damian Ratajczak2 1 0 2 0 05
- 7Hubert Jabłoński0 00
- 8Keynan Rew0 1 01+1
Heat by heat
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Jason Doyle · LES1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR3
- Damian Ratajczak · LES2
- Denis Zieliński · TOR1
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Jason Doyle · LES1
- David Bellego · LES0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Denis Zieliński · TOR2*
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1
- Keynan Rew · LES0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Jack Holder · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2*
- David Bellego · LES1
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Keynan Rew · LES1*
- Denis Zieliński · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1*
- Keynan Rew · LES0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- David Bellego · LES1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Jack Holder · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Damian Ratajczak · LES2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- David Bellego · LES0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- David Bellego · LES1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1*
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 33 → 18 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h S
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 48 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TOR | LES | TOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Doyle | 7 | 12.4 | 17 | +4.6 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 7 | 8.7 | 11 | +2.3 |
| Denis Zieliński | 3 | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 3 | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 13.5 | 14 | +0.5 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 6 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Jack Holder | 6 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Robert Lambert | 6 | 13.8 | 13 | -0.8 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 6 | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Keynan Rew | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Hubert Jabłoński | 2 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| David Bellego | 5 | 6.9 | 3 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.