GRU vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, June 17, 2022 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Przemysław Pawlicki3 0 1 0 26+1
- 10Krzysztof Kasprzak2 T 2 1 1 28+2
- 11Frederik Jakobsen2 1 3 2 2 010+2
- 14Wiktor Rafalski0 0 00
- 15Kacper Pludra2 0 2 1 27+2
- 16Norbert Krakowiak3 3 3 3 2 317
- 1Leon Madsen1 2 3 3 110
- 2Bartosz Smektała0 1 1 3 16+1
- 3Fredrik Lindgren0 2 2 04
- 4Jonas Jeppesen1 1 1 03+2
- 5Kacper Woryna2 3 1 3 312
- 6Jakub Miśkowiak3 3 0 06
- 7Mateusz Świdnicki1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU2*
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Kacper Pludra · GRU2
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE1
- Wiktor Rafalski · GRU0
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU1
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU2
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE1
- Wiktor Rafalski · GRU0
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE1*
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Kacper Pludra · GRU2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1*
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE0
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE1*
- Wiktor Rafalski · GRU0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU2
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU2*
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU1*
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE0
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU2
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1*
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU1*
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE0
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU3
- Kacper Pludra · GRU2*
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 18 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h NW
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| GRU | CZE | GRU | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norbert Krakowiak | 6 | 7.0 | 17 | +10.0 |
| Kacper Pludra | 5 | 3.9 | 7 | +3.1 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 9.5 | 12 | +2.5 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 8.2 | 10 | +1.8 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 6.6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 4 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 11.8 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Wiktor Rafalski | 3 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 4 | 5.8 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 3 | 4.1 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 9.9 | 6 | -3.9 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 4 | 8.3 | 4 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.