GOR vs OST
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, June 3, 2022 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Szymon Woźniak3 3 1 29
- 10Anders Thomsen3 2 3 2 212+2
- 11Martin Vaculik1 3 3 310
- 12Patrick Hansen1 2 1 0 15+1
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 312
- 14Oskar Hurysz2 0 02+1
- 15Mateusz Bartkowiak3 0 03
- 16Wiktor Jasinski2 02
- 1Oliver Berntzon2 1 1 2 1 18+1
- 2Tomasz Gapiński0 2 0 3 05
- 4Matias Nielsen2 0 2 1 27
- 5Chris Holder2 1 2 3 0 311
- 6Jakub KrawczykU 1 01+1
- 7Sebastian Szostak1 0 12
- 8Tim Sörensen0 11+1
Heat by heat
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Tim Sörensen · OST0
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR3
- Oskar Hurysz · GOR2*
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OSTU
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Chris Holder · OST2
- Patrick Hansen · GOR1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Matias Nielsen · OST2
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST1*
- Oskar Hurysz · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Patrick Hansen · GOR2*
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- Matias Nielsen · OST0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Chris Holder · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Matias Nielsen · OST2
- Tim Sörensen · OST1*
- Oskar Hurysz · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Chris Holder · OST2
- Patrick Hansen · GOR1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- Patrick Hansen · GOR0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Matias Nielsen · OST1
- Chris Holder · OST0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Matias Nielsen · OST2
- Patrick Hansen · GOR1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 20 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h E
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 34 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GOR | OST | GOR | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +20 | 100 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +22 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 8.3 | 12 | +3.7 |
| Matias Nielsen | 5 | 5.9 | 7 | +1.1 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 4 | 10.9 | 12 | +1.1 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 4 | 7.9 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Martin Vaculik | 4 | 9.2 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Patrick Hansen | 5 | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 2 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Tim Sörensen | 2 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 6 | 8.7 | 8 | -0.7 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 12.1 | 11 | -1.1 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Oskar Hurysz | 3 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 7.0 | 5 | -2.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.