CZE vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 20, 2022 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Leon Madsen3 3 3 3 315
- 10Bartosz Smektała3 2 2 2 312+3
- 11Kacper Woryna2 1 3 W 28+2
- 12Jonas Jeppesen2 0 1 25+2
- 13Fredrik Lindgren3 3 2 3 112+1
- 14Mateusz Świdnicki3 2 38+1
- 15Jakub Miśkowiak2 1 25+1
- 2Krzysztof Kasprzak0 2 1 0 36
- 3Frederik Jakobsen0 1 2 1 0 15+1
- 4Przemysław Pawlicki1 3 0 2 0 28
- 6Kacper Pludra1 0 0 1 02
- 7Kacper Łobodziński0 00
- 8Norbert Krakowiak1 0 1 1 1 D4
Heat by heat
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU1
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU0
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2*
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU0
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE3
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU2*
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE2*
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE1
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE2*
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE2*
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU1
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU0
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU1
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRUD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 20 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h S
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 20 | 4 | +16 | −16 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| CZE | GRU | CZE | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +12 | 98 % |
| 4 | +16 | 100 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +18 | 100 % |
| 8 | +22 | 100 % |
| 9 | +26 | 100 % |
| 10 | +28 | 100 % |
| 11 | +32 | 100 % |
| 12 | +30 | 100 % |
| 13 | +34 | 100 % |
| 14 | +38 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 3 | 3.7 | 8 | +4.3 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 11.9 | 15 | +3.1 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 9.4 | 12 | +2.6 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 11.2 | 12 | +0.8 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 3 | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 4 | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 2 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Kacper Pludra | 5 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 6 | 5.5 | 4 | -1.5 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 6.9 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 10.7 | 8 | -2.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.