WRO vs OST
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 6, 2022 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 11Tai Woffinden3 3 3 3 3 318
- 12Gleb Chugunov1 2 1 2 1 29+4
- 13Maciej Janowski3 1 3 0 3 111
- 14Michał Curzytek0 0 11
- 15Bartłomiej Kowalski3 0 14
- 16Dan Bewley1 3 2 0 2 311+1
- 1Oliver Berntzon2 3 2 2 0 211+1
- 2Tomasz Gapiński0 2 1 2 16+2
- 3Filip Hjelmland0 1 2 03
- 4Grzegorz Walasek2 0 U2
- 5Chris Holder2 3 1 3 1 010
- 6Sebastian Szostak2 1 03+1
- 7Jakub Poczta1 0 01+1
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Filip Hjelmland · OST0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2
- Jakub Poczta · OST1*
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Chris Holder · OST2
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1*
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2*
- Filip Hjelmland · OST1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1*
- Jakub Poczta · OST0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Filip Hjelmland · OST2
- Michał Curzytek · WRO1
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1*
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2*
- Chris Holder · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2*
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1
- Jakub Poczta · OST0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Chris Holder · OST1
- Oliver Berntzon · OST0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Filip Hjelmland · OST0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Chris Holder · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 16 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h W
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 51 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| WRO | OST | WRO | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tai Woffinden | 6 | 11.3 | 18 | +6.7 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 6 | 7.3 | 11 | +3.7 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 6 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 3 | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Filip Hjelmland | 4 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Dan Bewley | 6 | 12.2 | 11 | -1.2 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 11.3 | 10 | -1.3 |
| Michał Curzytek | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Jakub Poczta | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 12.8 | 11 | -1.8 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 3 | 5.8 | 2 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.