GRU vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 8, 2022 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Przemysław Pawlicki2 2 1 05
- 10Krzysztof Kasprzak2 1 0 1 15+1
- 11Frederik Jakobsen0 3 2 2 07
- 13Nicki Pedersen3 2 3 3 3 317
- 14Kacper Łobodziński1 1 02+1
- 15Kacper Pludra3 0 14+1
- 16Norbert Krakowiak1 2 1 04+2
- 1Patryk Dudek3 3 3 2 2 215+1
- 2Robert Lambert0 1 1 3 3 311+1
- 3Paweł Przedpełski1 1 2 1 0 27+2
- 5Jack Holder2 0 3 3 2 111+1
- 6Denis Zieliński2 0 02
- 7Karol Żupiński0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU0
- Kacper Pludra · GRU3
- Denis Zieliński · TOR2
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU1
- Karol Żupiński · TOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU1
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU2
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU1*
- Denis Zieliński · TOR0
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU3
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Jack Holder · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU1*
- Karol Żupiński · TOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1*
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU2
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU1*
- Denis Zieliński · TOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU2
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1*
- Karol Żupiński · TOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU1
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Jack Holder · TOR1*
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 9 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 14 km/h N
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| GRU | TOR | GRU | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 11.8 | 17 | +5.2 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 11.1 | 15 | +3.9 |
| Kacper Pludra | 3 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Denis Zieliński | 3 | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Jack Holder | 6 | 10.9 | 11 | +0.1 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 4 | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 4 | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 7.8 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Robert Lambert | 6 | 12.5 | 11 | -1.5 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 6 | 8.8 | 7 | -1.8 |
| Karol Żupiński | 3 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 7.5 | 5 | -2.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.