GRU vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, April 29, 2022 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Przemysław Pawlicki0 1 0 01+1
- 10Krzysztof Kasprzak3 2 1 2 1 D 211+1
- 11Frederik Jakobsen2 1 1 W 37+1
- 13Nicki Pedersen3 1 2 3 1 313
- 14Kacper Łobodziński3 03
- 15Kacper Pludra2 U 0 24+1
- 16Norbert Krakowiak0 00
- 1Szymon Woźniak1 3 2 0 28+1
- 2Anders Thomsen2 2 3 3 111+1
- 3Martin Vaculik3 2 3 210+2
- 4Patrick Hansen2 3 1 2 19+1
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik1 3 3 310+1
- 6Mateusz Bartkowiak1 1 02+1
- 7Jakub Stojanowski0 0 11
- 8Wiktor JasinskiW0
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU3
- Kacper Pludra · GRU2*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR1
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1*
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU3
- Patrick Hansen · GOR2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR1*
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Patrick Hansen · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU1
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU1
- Kacper Pludra · GRUU
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1*
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Patrick Hansen · GOR1
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU2
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU1*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Patrick Hansen · GOR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Kacper Pludra · GRU2
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRUD
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Patrick Hansen · GOR1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU2*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13 → 8 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h N
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 55 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GRU | GOR | GRU | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -12 | 1 % |
| 10 | -12 | 0 % |
| 11 | -10 | 1 % |
| 12 | -12 | 0 % |
| 13 | -16 | 0 % |
| 14 | -16 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Hansen | 5 | 6.1 | 9 | +2.9 |
| Martin Vaculik | 4 | 7.5 | 10 | +2.5 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 8.7 | 11 | +2.3 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 7 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 11.8 | 13 | +1.2 |
| Kacper Pludra | 4 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 2 | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 1 | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 4 | 10.8 | 10 | -0.8 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Jakub Stojanowski | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 10.3 | 8 | -2.3 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 4 | 5.7 | 1 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.