OST vs CZE

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 24, 2022 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski

Results

OST 24 : 30 CZE
OST
CZE

Heat by heat

Heat 168.98 s1:5
Heat 268.73 s1:5
Heat 368.85 s3:3
Heat 469.20 s3:3
Heat 569.49 s3:3
Heat 670.32 s2:4
Heat 772.02 s5:1
Heat 871.66 s3:3
Heat 971.80 s3:3
Heat 10
Heat 11
Heat 12
Heat 13
Heat 14
    Heat 15

      Conditions

      Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

      Sky
      Rain
      Regional estimate (Meteostat)
      Temperature
      14 → 10 °C
      Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
      Wind
      19 km/h NE
      gusts up to 37 km/h
      Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
      Rain during the meeting
      3 mm
      Rain likely: a second model agrees
      Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
      Rain in the 24 hours before
      0 mm
      Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
      Humidity
      67 %
      Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away

      Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

      Match by phase

      Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

      PointsBalance
      1–4816−8+8
      5–7108+2−2
      8–106600
      11–130000
      OSTCZEOSTCZE

      The match heat by heat

      Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

      • Lead OST
      -10-9-8-7-6-5-419
      HeatLeadHome win chance
      1-445 %
      2-811 %
      3-813 %
      4-815 %
      5-818 %
      6-108 %
      7-618 %
      8-616 %
      9-620 %

      Pre-meeting expectation

      Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

      RiderheatsExpectedScored±
      Tomasz Gapiński45.88+2.2
      Chris Holder47.28+0.8
      Kacper Grzelak31.31-0.3
      Jakub Miśkowiak35.75-0.7
      Matias Nielsen21.00-1.0
      Bartosz Smektała47.16-1.1
      Mateusz Świdnicki33.52-1.5
      Filip Hjelmland21.60-1.6
      Oliver Berntzon44.93-1.9
      Jonas Jeppesen45.94-1.9
      Grzegorz Walasek46.04-2.0
      Jakub Krawczyk32.10-2.1
      Fredrik Lindgren48.66-2.6
      Leon Madsen49.35-4.3
      Kacper Woryna48.12-6.1

      Track & gates

      Heat times

      Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

      slower 72.0268.73 faster

      Starting gates

      One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

      Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

      Inside vs outside

      Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

      inside A + B 16.3:19.7 outside C + D
      Trend ◀ +1.51 towards the inside
      Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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