LUB vs GRU

PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, April 22, 2022 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin

Results

LUB 57 : 33 GRU

LUB

9Jarosław Hampel2 1 0 14
11Maksym Drabik1 3 3 3 3 316+1
13Mikkel Michelsen2 3 1 3 09+2
14Wiktor Lampart2 3 2 1 1 211+2
15Mateusz Cierniak3 0 2 38+1
16Dominik Kubera2 0 3 1 3 u9+1

GRU

1Nicki Pedersen3 1 3 W 29+1
2Krzysztof Kasprzak1 2 2 1 28+1
3Frederik Jakobsen0 2 3 1 17+1
4Przemysław Pawlicki1 1 0 2 W4+1
6Kacper Pludra1 0 01
7Kacper Łobodziński0 0 00
8Norbert Krakowiak0 2 2 D4

Heat by heat

Heat 166.94 s3:3

Heat 268.27 s5:1

Heat 367.14 s5:1

Heat 467.88 s5:1

Heat 567.10 s3:3

Heat 666.82 s3:3

Heat 767.55 s4:2

Heat 868.35 s3:3

Heat 967.26 s1:5

Heat 1067.44 s4:2

Heat 1166.86 s4:2

Heat 1267.72 s5:1

Heat 1367.23 s3:3

Heat 1467.75 s4:2

Heat 1567.04 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 8 → 5 °C; Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Wind: 8 km/h NE; gusts up to 20 km/h; Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 78 %; Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	18	6	+12	−12
5–7	10	8	+2	−2
8–10	8	10	−2	+2
11–13	12	6	+6	−6
14–15	9	3	+6	−6
	LUB	GRU	LUB	GRU

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead LUB

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	+4	86 %
3	+8	94 %
4	+12	96 %
5	+12	97 %
6	+12	99 %
7	+14	100 %
8	+14	100 %
9	+10	97 %
10	+12	100 %
11	+14	100 %
12	+18	100 %
13	+18	100 %
14	+20	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Maksym Drabik	6	12.0	16	+4.0
Mateusz Cierniak	4	4.3	8	+3.7
Frederik Jakobsen	5	4.7	7	+2.3
Wiktor Lampart	6	9.3	11	+1.7
Krzysztof Kasprzak	5	6.4	8	+1.6
Nicki Pedersen	5	9.6	9	-0.6
Dominik Kubera	5	9.8	9	-0.8
Norbert Krakowiak	4	5.1	4	-1.1
Kacper Pludra	3	2.3	1	-1.3
Jarosław Hampel	4	5.4	4	-1.4
Mikkel Michelsen	5	10.9	9	-1.9
Kacper Łobodziński	3	2.0	0	-2.0
Przemysław Pawlicki	5	8.5	4	-4.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 68.3566.82 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 38.3:21.0 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −1.07 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source