CZE vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Saturday, September 24, 2022 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Leon Madsen1 1 3 2 310+2
- 10Bartosz Smektała2 2 1 3 19+1
- 11Kacper Woryna0 3 2 2 29+2
- 13Fredrik Lindgren2 3 3 2 313+2
- 14Mateusz Świdnicki2 3 0 0 16+2
- 15Jakub Miśkowiak3 3 0 3 312
- 1Patryk Dudek3 1 1 D 05+1
- 2Jack Holder0 2 1 2 1 06+1
- 3Paweł Przedpełski2 1 2 0 0 16+2
- 5Robert Lambert1 2 3 3 1 1 213
- 6Krzysztof Lewandowski1 0 0 01
- 7Mateusz Affelt0 00
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE2*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2*
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Jack Holder · TOR0
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE3
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE2*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1*
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Jack Holder · TOR1*
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE1
- Patryk Dudek · TORD
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE1*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2*
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2*
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Patryk Dudek · TOR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE1
- Jack Holder · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 12 → 11 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h SE
- gusts up to 9 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 74 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 15 | 3 | +12 | −12 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| CZE | TOR | CZE | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +22 | 100 % |
| 14 | +26 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 8.0 | 13 | +5.0 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 7.8 | 12 | +4.2 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 7.3 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 5 | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Robert Lambert | 7 | 13.3 | 13 | -0.3 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 9.9 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 6 | 7.1 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Mateusz Affelt | 2 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 4 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 8.6 | 5 | -3.6 |
| Jack Holder | 6 | 10.0 | 6 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.