TOR vs OST
PGE Ekstraliga · Saturday, April 16, 2022 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Patryk Dudek1 3 1 3 2 313+2
- 10Paweł Przedpełski3 3 2 3 0 011+1
- 11Jack Holder2 2 1 1 3 211+2
- 13Robert Lambert1 3 2 2 2 313+1
- 14Krzysztof Lewandowski3 2 16+2
- 15Denis Zieliński1 01
- 16Karol ŻupińskiW0
- 1Nicolai Klindt0 2 0 1 14
- 2Tomasz Gapiński0 11+1
- 3Grzegorz Walasek3 2 3 1 1 111+1
- 4Filip Hjelmland0 00
- 5Chris Holder3 2 3 1 3 214
- 6Sebastian Szostak0 00
- 7Jakub Krawczyk2 0 0 2 04
- 8Matias Nielsen1 01
Heat by heat
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR3
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST2
- Denis Zieliński · TOR1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR2*
- Matias Nielsen · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Filip Hjelmland · OST0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1*
- Denis Zieliński · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Chris Holder · OST2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1*
- Filip Hjelmland · OST0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Jack Holder · TOR1*
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Matias Nielsen · OST0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST2
- Chris Holder · OST1
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Chris Holder · OST2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 9 → 6 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h N
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 42 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TOR | OST | TOR | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grzegorz Walasek | 6 | 7.8 | 11 | +3.2 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 3 | 3.1 | 6 | +2.9 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 11.2 | 14 | +2.8 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 12.2 | 13 | +0.8 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 6 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| Jack Holder | 6 | 10.4 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 5 | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Robert Lambert | 6 | 12.9 | 13 | +0.1 |
| Denis Zieliński | 2 | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Karol Żupiński | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Matias Nielsen | 2 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Filip Hjelmland | 2 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 2 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 6.4 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 2 | 3.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.