TOR vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 11, 2022 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Robert Lambert2 1 2 1 1 29+4
- 10Jack Holder2 3 2 3 3 316
- 11Paweł Przedpełski1 3 2 3 2 011+1
- 13Patryk Dudek2 1 3 0 0 39+1
- 14Mateusz Affelt0 00
- 15Krzysztof Lewandowski1 0 W1
- 16Denis Zieliński00
- 1Leon Madsen0 2 3 0 05+1
- 2Bartosz Smektała0 3 0 3 28
- 3Kacper Woryna3 3 2 2 111+1
- 5Fredrik Lindgren1 1 1 1 15+2
- 6Jakub Miśkowiak3 3 0 2 210
- 7Mateusz Świdnicki2 1 D 1 15+2
Heat by heat
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Leon Madsen · CZE0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE2*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE1
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZED
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE1*
- Denis Zieliński · TOR0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1*
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Leon Madsen · CZE0
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE1
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1
- Leon Madsen · CZE0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 15 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h NW
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.7 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 55 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TOR | CZE | TOR | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Holder | 6 | 8.4 | 16 | +7.6 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 6 | 7.7 | 11 | +3.3 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 8.8 | 11 | +2.2 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 5 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Denis Zieliński | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 3 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Mateusz Affelt | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 7.0 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 11.5 | 9 | -2.5 |
| Robert Lambert | 6 | 11.5 | 9 | -2.5 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 10.5 | 5 | -5.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.