GOR vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 11, 2022 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Szymon Woźniak1 3 1 1 2 311+2
- 10Patrick Hansen2 0 0 2 2 06+1
- 11Martin Vaculik3 1 2 3 3 214+2
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik2 3 2 3 3 316+1
- 14Oskar PaluchW 1 12+1
- 15Mateusz Bartkowiak2 0 02
- 1Mikkel Michelsen0 1 3 D4+1
- 2Maksym Drabik0 2 0 13+1
- 3Jarosław Hampel2 1 2 D 1 06+1
- 6Wiktor Lampart1 0 1 02
- 7Mateusz Cierniak3 2 0 2 18+2
- 8Dominik Kubera3 3 3 3 1 2 116
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2*
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1
- Maksym Drabik · LUB0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Patrick Hansen · GOR2
- Oskar Paluch · GOR1*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Patrick Hansen · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Maksym Drabik · LUB2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Patrick Hansen · GOR0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Oskar Paluch · GOR1
- Jarosław Hampel · LUBD
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Patrick Hansen · GOR2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1*
- Maksym Drabik · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUBD
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Maksym Drabik · LUB1*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Patrick Hansen · GOR2*
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Patrick Hansen · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 16 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h N
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.7 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 76 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GOR | LUB | GOR | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik Kubera | 7 | 12.6 | 16 | +3.4 |
| Martin Vaculik | 6 | 11.0 | 14 | +3.0 |
| Patrick Hansen | 6 | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 6 | 10.0 | 11 | +1.0 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 3 | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 15.3 | 16 | +0.7 |
| Oskar Paluch | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Maksym Drabik | 4 | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 4 | 4.5 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 7.4 | 4 | -3.4 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 6 | 9.7 | 6 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.