CZE vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 4, 2022 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Leon Madsen2 2 3 2 110
- 10Bartosz Smektała2 1 0 36+1
- 11Kacper Woryna1 1 3 1 17+1
- 13Fredrik LindgrenD 1 2 2 1 06+1
- 14Mateusz Świdnicki2 1 0 0 14+2
- 15Jakub Miśkowiak3 3 0 0 39
- 1Szymon Woźniak0 3 3 1 1 210
- 2Patrick Hansen1 2 1 0 2 W6+1
- 3Bartosz Zmarzlik3 2 3 3 3 317+1
- 5Martin Vaculik2 3 3 2 2 214+2
- 6Oskar Paluch1 0 01
- 7Mateusz Bartkowiak0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE2*
- Oskar Paluch · GOR1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Patrick Hansen · GOR1
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZED
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE2
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE1*
- Oskar Paluch · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2*
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Patrick Hansen · GOR2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE1*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Patrick Hansen · GOR1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Patrick Hansen · GOR0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE1
- Oskar Paluch · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Patrick Hansen · GOR2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE0
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 16 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h NE
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 68 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| CZE | GOR | CZE | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 14.4 | 17 | +2.6 |
| Martin Vaculik | 6 | 11.8 | 14 | +2.2 |
| Patrick Hansen | 6 | 3.9 | 6 | +2.1 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 5 | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 6 | 10.3 | 10 | -0.3 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 3 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Oskar Paluch | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 9.2 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 6 | 9.3 | 6 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.