TOR vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, September 2, 2022 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Patryk Dudek0 1 1 2 0 37+2
- 10Jack Holder2 3 3 1 2 011+1
- 11Paweł Przedpełski3 2 2 2 2 213+2
- 13Robert Lambert0 2 3 3 3 314
- 14Mateusz Affelt1 1 02+2
- 15Krzysztof Lewandowski2 0 13+1
- 1Mikkel Michelsen3 0 3 D6
- 2Maksym Drabik1 1 1 3 17+1
- 3Jarosław Hampel2 3 0 2 0 29
- 6Mateusz Cierniak0 0 00
- 7Wiktor Lampart3 2 1 1 07+1
- 8Dominik Kubera1 3 3 0 2 1 111+2
Heat by heat
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR2
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Maksym Drabik · LUB1
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Maksym Drabik · LUB1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1*
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2*
- Maksym Drabik · LUB1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2*
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Patryk Dudek · TOR0
- Maksym Drabik · LUB3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2*
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUBD
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Maksym Drabik · LUB1*
- Jack Holder · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15 → 12 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h NE
- gusts up to 11 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 75 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TOR | LUB | TOR | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paweł Przedpełski | 6 | 6.6 | 13 | +6.4 |
| Jack Holder | 6 | 7.5 | 11 | +3.5 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 5 | 5.3 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Robert Lambert | 6 | 12.7 | 14 | +1.3 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 3 | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 6.7 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Mateusz Affelt | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Dominik Kubera | 7 | 12.9 | 11 | -1.9 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 6 | 11.3 | 9 | -2.3 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 11.1 | 7 | -4.1 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 3 | 4.2 | 0 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.