GOR vs TOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 28, 2022 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Results

GOR 51 : 39 TOR

GOR

9Szymon Woźniak2 0 2 2 0 28+1
10Patrick Hansen0 00
11Martin Vaculik3 2 3 3 2 215+2
13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 3 3 318
14Oskar Paluch3 3 W6
15Mateusz Bartkowiak0 0 11+1
16Wiktor Jasinski0 1 1 13+1

TOR

1Jack Holder0 2 1 3 2 3 011+1
2Paweł Przedpełski1 2 1 1 05
3Patryk Dudek1 1 2 1 05+2
5Robert Lambert0 2 3 2 3 2 113
6Krzysztof Lewandowski1 1 1 03+2
7Denis Zieliński2 02

Heat by heat

Heat 160.11 s5:1

Martin Vaculik · GOR3
Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
Patryk Dudek · TOR1
Jack Holder · TOR0

Heat 260.81 s3:3

Heat 359.10 s5:1

Heat 460.56 s3:3

Heat 559.85 s3:3

Heat 660.18 s3:3

Heat 760.33 s2:4

Heat 860.32 s3:3

Heat 960.74 s2:4

Heat 1060.39 s4:2

Heat 1160.77 s3:3

Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
Jack Holder · TOR2
Patryk Dudek · TOR1*
Szymon Woźniak · GOR0

Heat 1260.76 s3:3

Heat 1360.74 s4:2

Heat 1461.42 s3:3

Heat 1560.89 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 23 → 19 °C; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Wind: 10 km/h NW; gusts up to 19 km/h; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 24 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 66 %; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	16	8	+8	−8
5–7	8	10	−2	+2
8–10	9	9	0	0
11–13	10	8	+2	−2
14–15	8	4	+4	−4
	GOR	TOR	GOR	TOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead GOR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+4	85 %
2	+4	86 %
3	+8	94 %
4	+8	93 %
5	+8	94 %
6	+8	95 %
7	+6	90 %
8	+6	90 %
9	+4	88 %
10	+6	92 %
11	+6	92 %
12	+6	92 %
13	+8	98 %
14	+8	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Martin Vaculik	6	11.2	15	+3.8
Bartosz Zmarzlik	6	14.8	18	+3.2
Oskar Paluch	3	3.5	6	+2.5
Jack Holder	7	9.0	11	+2.0
Wiktor Jasinski	4	1.9	3	+1.1
Denis Zieliński	2	1.5	2	+0.5
Robert Lambert	7	13.4	13	-0.4
Krzysztof Lewandowski	4	3.6	3	-0.6
Mateusz Bartkowiak	3	2.3	1	-1.3
Paweł Przedpełski	5	6.7	5	-1.7
Szymon Woźniak	6	10.4	8	-2.4
Patrick Hansen	2	2.5	0	-2.5
Patryk Dudek	5	9.0	5	-4.0

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.4259.10 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 34.0:28.7 outside C + D

Trend ◀ +2.57 towards the inside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source