CZE vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 28, 2022 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Leon Madsen3 3 2 2 313
- 10Bartosz Smektała1 2 0 0 14+2
- 11Kacper Woryna2 3 3 2 212+3
- 13Fredrik Lindgren1 2 3 3 211
- 14Mateusz Świdnicki1 0 2 0 U3+2
- 15Jakub Miśkowiak2 3 0 1 39
- 1Gleb Chugunov0 11
- 3Tai Woffinden1 2 W 1 U 1 D5+3
- 5Maciej Janowski2 1 1 1 2 18
- 6Bartłomiej Kowalski3 3 3 2 W 011
- 7Michał Curzytek0 00
- 8Dan Bewley0 3 2 1 3 1 313
Heat by heat
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE1*
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZEU
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1
- Tai Woffinden · WROU
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE1*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Tai Woffinden · WROD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Thunderstorm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 19 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h SW
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 1.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 8.7 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 96 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| CZE | WRO | CZE | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 6 | 4.2 | 11 | +6.8 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 5.8 | 9 | +3.2 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 10.0 | 13 | +3.0 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 8.1 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 9.5 | 12 | +2.5 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 2 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Michał Curzytek | 2 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 5 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Dan Bewley | 7 | 14.8 | 13 | -1.8 |
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 11.3 | 8 | -3.3 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 7.3 | 4 | -3.3 |
| Tai Woffinden | 7 | 12.6 | 5 | -7.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.