WRO vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 21, 2022 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Gleb Chugunov0 2 1 0 03
- 11Tai Woffinden2 2 1 2 1 19+5
- 13Maciej Janowski3 3 3 2 0 2 215+1
- 14Michał Curzytek0 1 01+1
- 15Bartłomiej Kowalski1 0 23
- 16Dan Bewley2 3 1 3 1 313
- 1Leon Madsen1 1 3 3 08+1
- 2Bartosz Smektała0 2 2 3 18+1
- 3Kacper Woryna3 3 1 2 312+2
- 4Jonas Jeppesen00
- 5Fredrik Lindgren1 2 1 3 07
- 6Jakub Miśkowiak3 3 0 0 17
- 7Mateusz Świdnicki2 0 2 04+1
Heat by heat
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE2*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Michał Curzytek · WRO1*
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1*
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE2*
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE1
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- Leon Madsen · CZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Rain
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 16 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h NW
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 28.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 88 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| WRO | CZE | WRO | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -6 | 27 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 8.4 | 12 | +3.6 |
| Maciej Janowski | 7 | 12.7 | 15 | +2.3 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 6.2 | 8 | +1.8 |
| Dan Bewley | 6 | 12.4 | 13 | +0.6 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 3 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 4 | 4.0 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Michał Curzytek | 3 | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 1 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 10.5 | 8 | -2.5 |
| Tai Woffinden | 6 | 11.5 | 9 | -2.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.