TOR vs GOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 21, 2022 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń

Results

TOR 46 : 44 GOR

TOR

9Paweł Przedpełski3 2 1 1 0 310
10Patryk Dudek2 3 0 2 1 311+1
11Jack Holder1 2 1 M 15+2
13Robert Lambert1 3 2 3 2 112+1
14Denis Zieliński1 1 13+2
15Krzysztof Lewandowski3 0 2 05

GOR

1Szymon Woźniak0 3 2 2 1 08+1
2Wiktor Jasinski0 1 0 3 15+2
3Bartosz Zmarzlik2 3 3 3 3 3 219
5Patrick Hansen3 0 2 2 0 29
6Mateusz Bartkowiak2 0 13
7Oskar Hurysz0 0 00

Heat by heat

Heat 159.40 s4:2

Heat 260.15 s4:2

Heat 359.27 s3:3

Patrick Hansen · GOR3
Jack Holder · TOR2
Robert Lambert · TOR1*
Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0

Heat 459.60 s3:3

Heat 559.38 s3:3

Heat 659.47 s3:3

Heat 759.48 s4:2

Heat 859.00 s3:3

Heat 959.53 s1:5

Heat 1059.29 s3:3

Heat 1159.51 s2:4

Heat 1260.36 s3:3

Heat 1359.30 s3:3

Heat 1459.35 s3:3

Heat 1559.41 s4:2

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Showers; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 19 → 18 °C; Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Wind: 12 km/h NW; gusts up to 26 km/h; Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 91 %; Measured · Torun, 3 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	14	10	+4	−4
5–7	10	8	+2	−2
8–10	7	11	−4	+4
11–13	8	10	−2	+2
14–15	7	5	+2	−2
	TOR	GOR	TOR	GOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead TOR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+2	79 %
2	+4	86 %
3	+4	82 %
4	+4	83 %
5	+4	83 %
6	+4	82 %
7	+6	90 %
8	+6	90 %
9	+2	73 %
10	+2	70 %
11	0	48 %
12	0	57 %
13	0	56 %
14	0	56 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Patrick Hansen	6	5.7	9	+3.3
Paweł Przedpełski	6	7.6	10	+2.4
Bartosz Zmarzlik	7	17.3	19	+1.7
Denis Zieliński	3	1.8	3	+1.2
Krzysztof Lewandowski	4	4.4	5	+0.6
Mateusz Bartkowiak	3	2.6	3	+0.4
Wiktor Jasinski	5	4.6	5	+0.4
Patryk Dudek	6	11.6	11	-0.6
Robert Lambert	6	12.7	12	-0.7
Szymon Woźniak	6	9.1	8	-1.1
Oskar Hurysz	3	3.1	0	-3.1
Jack Holder	5	9.4	5	-4.4

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 60.3659.00 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 39.0:23.7 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −1.80 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source