TOR vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 7, 2022 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Jack Holder1 0 0 12+1
- 10Robert Lambert1 2 3 3 2 2 316+1
- 11Paweł Przedpełski2 3 1 2 3 112
- 13Patryk Dudek2 2 2 1 1 T 311+1
- 14Denis Zieliński2 02
- 15Krzysztof Lewandowski1 1 0 0 02+2
- 1Gleb Chugunov0 3 0 0 03
- 3Tai Woffinden3 3 3 2 1 214
- 5Maciej Janowski0 2 1 3 3 09+1
- 6Bartłomiej Kowalski3 2 W W5+1
- 7Michał Curzytek0 3 14+1
- 8Dan Bewley1 3 1 2 2 110
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Jack Holder · TOR1*
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Denis Zieliński · TOR2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1*
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2*
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2*
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Denis Zieliński · TOR0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Jack Holder · TOR0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1*
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Michał Curzytek · WRO3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Jack Holder · TOR0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Michał Curzytek · WRO1*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2*
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 23 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h NW
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 39 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| TOR | WRO | TOR | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paweł Przedpełski | 6 | 6.6 | 12 | +5.4 |
| Robert Lambert | 7 | 12.3 | 16 | +3.7 |
| Tai Woffinden | 6 | 11.6 | 14 | +2.4 |
| Michał Curzytek | 3 | 1.8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 4 | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Denis Zieliński | 2 | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 11.7 | 11 | -0.7 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 5 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Dan Bewley | 6 | 12.1 | 10 | -2.1 |
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 11.4 | 9 | -2.4 |
| Jack Holder | 4 | 6.3 | 2 | -4.3 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 7.4 | 3 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.