LUB vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 7, 2022 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel3 2 2 2 312+1
- 11Maksym Drabik2 2 1 3 311+3
- 13Mikkel Michelsen0 3 2 1 39+2
- 14Wiktor Lampart3 2 3 3 011+1
- 15Mateusz Cierniak2 0 2 1 05+1
- 16Dominik Kubera3 1 3 2 211+2
- 1Szymon Woźniak1 1 1 2 27+1
- 2Anders Thomsen3 2 D 2 18
- 3Patrick Hansen0 1 1 0 02
- 4Wiktor Jasinski1 0 0 1 13+2
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik1 3 3 310
- 6Mateusz Bartkowiak1 0 01
- 7Oskar Hurysz0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Maksym Drabik · LUB2*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Patrick Hansen · GOR0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR1
- Oskar Hurysz · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2*
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Maksym Drabik · LUB2*
- Patrick Hansen · GOR1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1*
- Oskar Hurysz · GOR0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2*
- Patrick Hansen · GOR1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Anders Thomsen · GORD
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Maksym Drabik · LUB1*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Maksym Drabik · LUB3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Oskar Hurysz · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1*
- Patrick Hansen · GOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Maksym Drabik · LUB3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Patrick Hansen · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 14 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h NE
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LUB | GOR | LUB | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +14 | 100 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +22 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +22 | 100 % |
| 12 | +24 | 100 % |
| 13 | +24 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiktor Lampart | 5 | 6.1 | 11 | +4.9 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 8.1 | 12 | +3.9 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 9.6 | 11 | +1.4 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 4 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 8.7 | 8 | -0.7 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 3 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 5 | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Oskar Hurysz | 3 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Patrick Hansen | 5 | 4.4 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 9.4 | 7 | -2.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.