TOR vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 17, 2022 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Paweł Przedpełski0 2 1 3 2 19+3
- 10Robert Lambert2 3 0 3 2 212+1
- 11Jack Holder1 1 3 1 2 210
- 13Patryk Dudek0 3 2 3 1 312+1
- 14Denis Zieliński11
- 15Krzysztof Lewandowski3 0 0 03
- 16Mateusz Affelt00
- 1Szymon Woźniak2 2 2 1 07+1
- 2Anders Thomsen3 1 1 3 08+2
- 3Martin Vaculik3 1 3 0 310
- 4Patrick Hansen3 0 1 04
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik2 2 2 3 110+1
- 6Oskar Paluch2 1 03
- 7Jakub Stojanowski0 0 11
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR3
- Oskar Paluch · GOR2
- Denis Zieliński · TOR1
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2*
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Patryk Dudek · TOR0
- Patrick Hansen · GOR3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Oskar Paluch · GOR1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Patrick Hansen · GOR0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Patrick Hansen · GOR1
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1*
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Oskar Paluch · GOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Patrick Hansen · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Anders Thomsen · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 21 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h W
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 41 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TOR | GOR | TOR | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Holder | 6 | 7.0 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 6 | 6.8 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 10.1 | 12 | +1.9 |
| Patrick Hansen | 4 | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Robert Lambert | 6 | 11.8 | 12 | +0.2 |
| Denis Zieliński | 1 | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Oskar Paluch | 3 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Mateusz Affelt | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 8.6 | 8 | -0.6 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 4 | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 8.1 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 11.3 | 10 | -1.3 |
| Jakub Stojanowski | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.1 | 10 | -2.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.