CZE vs OST
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, July 15, 2022 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Leon Madsen3 3 2 3 314+1
- 10Bartosz Smektała2 2 3 3 313+1
- 11Kacper Woryna2 3 3 311+1
- 12Jonas Jeppesen3 1 1 16
- 13Fredrik Lindgren2 2 2 2 210+4
- 14Mateusz Świdnicki2 1 14+3
- 15Jakub Miśkowiak3 3 2 210+2
- 1Oliver Berntzon1 1 1 03
- 2Jakub Poczta0 11
- 3Tomasz Gapiński0 0 3 1 15
- 4Grzegorz Walasek3 2 0 2 07
- 5Chris Holder1 1 2 0 15
- 6Jakub Krawczyk1 0 0 01
- 7Kacper Grzelak0 0 00
- 8Tim Sörensen0 00
Heat by heat
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE2*
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST1
- Kacper Grzelak · OST0
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2*
- Chris Holder · OST1
- Tim Sörensen · OST0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE2
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE1*
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2*
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- Tim Sörensen · OST0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE2*
- Chris Holder · OST1
- Kacper Grzelak · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2*
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- Jakub Poczta · OST0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Chris Holder · OST2
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE1
- Oliver Berntzon · OST0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2*
- Jakub Poczta · OST1
- Kacper Grzelak · OST0
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Chris Holder · OST0
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2*
- Chris Holder · OST1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 17 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 11 km/h W
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 8.9 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 42 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| CZE | OST | CZE | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +12 | 98 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +14 | 100 % |
| 6 | +18 | 99 % |
| 7 | +22 | 100 % |
| 8 | +22 | 100 % |
| 9 | +26 | 100 % |
| 10 | +28 | 100 % |
| 11 | +30 | 100 % |
| 12 | +34 | 100 % |
| 13 | +38 | 100 % |
| 14 | +42 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 8.4 | 13 | +4.6 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 11.6 | 14 | +2.4 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 4 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Kacper Woryna | 4 | 8.7 | 11 | +2.3 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 4 | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Jakub Poczta | 2 | 1.0 | 1 | -0.0 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 3 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 5.8 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 3 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Tim Sörensen | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 4 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 4 | 6.8 | 3 | -3.8 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 9.7 | 5 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.