WRO vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, July 1, 2022 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Gleb Chugunov0 3 2 3 0 19
- 11Tai Woffinden1 0 2 0 25+1
- 13Maciej Janowski1 3 3 2 3 3 015
- 14Michał Curzytek0 00
- 15Bartłomiej Kowalski2 0 1 2 16+1
- 16Dan Bewley2 0 0 2 2 u6+1
- 1Leon Madsen3 2 2 3 1 314
- 2Jonas Jeppesen2 1 1 1 W5+3
- 4Bartosz Smektała2 1 0 03+1
- 5Kacper Woryna3 3 2 3 0 213+1
- 6Jakub Miśkowiak3 3 1 1 1 312
- 7Mateusz Świdnicki1 1 02
Heat by heat
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE2*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE1
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE1
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE1*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE1
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE0
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE1*
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 18 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 24 km/h W
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 7.9 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 78 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 6 | 18 | −12 | +12 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| WRO | CZE | WRO | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -6 | 27 % |
| 3 | -10 | 7 % |
| 4 | -12 | 10 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -10 | 5 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -10 | 7 % |
| 11 | -12 | 0 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kacper Woryna | 6 | 9.6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 6 | 8.6 | 12 | +3.4 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 5 | 3.8 | 6 | +2.2 |
| Leon Madsen | 6 | 12.0 | 14 | +2.0 |
| Maciej Janowski | 7 | 13.6 | 15 | +1.4 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 6 | 9.2 | 9 | -0.2 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 5 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Michał Curzytek | 2 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 3 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 5.7 | 3 | -2.7 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 9.3 | 6 | -3.3 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 8.7 | 5 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.