GOR vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, July 8, 2022 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Szymon Woźniak1 3 1 3 19
- 10Anders Thomsen3 2 3 1 312+1
- 11Martin Vaculik3 2 3 311
- 12Patrick Hansen0 00
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 2 3 314
- 14Oskar Hurysz0 1 01
- 15Oskar Paluch3 1 04
- 16Wiktor JasinskiW 2 13+1
- 1Krzysztof Kasprzak0 2 2 1 2 29
- 3Frederik Jakobsen2 2 1 3 0 08
- 4Przemysław Pawlicki2 3 1 1 W 29
- 6Kacper Pludra1 U 2 1 04+2
- 7Kacper Łobodziński2 02
- 8Norbert Krakowiak1 0 0 1 24+1
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU0
- Oskar Paluch · GOR3
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU2
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1*
- Oskar Hurysz · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU2
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU1*
- Patrick Hansen · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Oskar Hurysz · GOR1
- Kacper Pludra · GRUU
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU1
- Patrick Hansen · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU2
- Oskar Paluch · GOR1
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Oskar Hurysz · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Kacper Pludra · GRU2
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU1
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU2
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1*
- Oskar Paluch · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 15 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h NW
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.9 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 89 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GOR | GRU | GOR | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 10.3 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 3 | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Oskar Paluch | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 6 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Martin Vaculik | 4 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 2 | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 13.6 | 14 | +0.4 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Kacper Pludra | 5 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Patrick Hansen | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Oskar Hurysz | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 5 | 7.0 | 4 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.