OST vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, June 24, 2022 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Tomasz Gapiński2 2 2 1 1 08+1
- 10Oliver Berntzon3 M 1 2 28+1
- 12Grzegorz Walasek1 1 2 D 04
- 13Chris Holder3 1 1 2 1 210+1
- 14Sebastian Szostak1 0 D1
- 15Jakub Krawczyk2 0 02
- 16Tim Sörensen1 01
- 1Gleb ChugunovW 1 3 3 3 111+1
- 3Tai Woffinden3 2 2 2 0 312+3
- 5Maciej Janowski2 3 3 3 3 317
- 6Bartłomiej Kowalski3 2 05
- 7Michał CurzytekW 1 12
- 8Dan Bewley0 2 3 0 3 19+1
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Tim Sörensen · OST1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1*
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Tim Sörensen · OST0
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Chris Holder · OST1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Michał Curzytek · WRO1
- Oliver Berntzon · OSTM
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Chris Holder · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OSTD
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1*
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OSTD
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Chris Holder · OST2
- Michał Curzytek · WRO1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Chris Holder · OST1*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Chris Holder · OST2
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 28 → 26 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h E
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 33 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 4 | 14 | −10 | +10 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| OST | WRO | OST | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -12 | 2 % |
| 9 | -12 | 1 % |
| 10 | -12 | 0 % |
| 11 | -16 | 1 % |
| 12 | -18 | 0 % |
| 13 | -18 | 0 % |
| 14 | -20 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 12.3 | 17 | +4.7 |
| Tai Woffinden | 6 | 10.3 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 3 | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 6 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 7.6 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Michał Curzytek | 3 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Tim Sörensen | 2 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 6 | 11.7 | 11 | -0.7 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 11.7 | 10 | -1.7 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 6.5 | 4 | -2.5 |
| Dan Bewley | 6 | 11.9 | 9 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.