LUB vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 20, 2021 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Grigorij Laguta2 2 1 1 39
- 10Krzysztof Buczkowski3 1 04+1
- 11Jarosław Hampel1 2 3 2 08+1
- 13Mikkel Michelsen1 3 1 W 16+2
- 14Wiktor Lampart3 2 2 07+1
- 15Mateusz Cierniak2 W 13+2
- 16Dominik Kubera2 1 1 2 39+1
- 1Szymon Woźniak0 1 2 2 27+2
- 2Anders Thomsen0 2 3 3 08
- 3Martin Vaculik3 3 0 3 W 110+1
- 4Rafał Karczmarz0 00
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 2 3 216
- 6Wiktor Jasinski1 1 0 02
- 7Kamil Pytlewski0 00
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Kamil Pytlewski · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2*
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUBW
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB1*
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB1
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Kamil Pytlewski · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUBW
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1
- Anders Thomsen · GOR0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 21 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h E
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 72 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 11 | −5 | +5 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LUB | GOR | LUB | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +1 | 74 % |
| 14 | +3 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 5.0 | 9 | +4.0 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 4 | 4.7 | 7 | +2.3 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 14.8 | 16 | +1.2 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 3 | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 3 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 4 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 9.6 | 8 | -1.6 |
| Kamil Pytlewski | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Martin Vaculik | 6 | 11.8 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 8.1 | 6 | -2.1 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 2 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.