ZIE vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 6, 2021 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Matej Zagar0 3 0 14
- 10Max Fricke3 1 1 1 17
- 11Piotr Protasiewicz3 1 1 2 29
- 12Mateusz Tonder2 3 3 3 011
- 13Patryk Dudek1 D 3 3 310+1
- 14Nile Tufft3 1 04
- 15Fabian Ragus2 1 03+1
- 1Paweł Przedpełski1 3 2 3 2 314+1
- 2Adrian Miedziński00
- 4Chris Holder2 0 1 0 25+1
- 5Jack Holder3 2 2 2 2 112+1
- 6Krzysztof LewandowskiW 0 0 11
- 7Karol Żupiński1 01
- 8Robert Lambert2 2 2 3 0 09+1
Heat by heat
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Matej Zagar · ZIE0
- Nile Tufft · ZIE3
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE2*
- Karol Żupiński · TOR1
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Nile Tufft · ZIE1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2*
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIED
- Matej Zagar · ZIE3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Max Fricke · ZIE1
- Karol Żupiński · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Nile Tufft · ZIE0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2*
- Max Fricke · ZIE1
- Matej Zagar · ZIE0
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Matej Zagar · ZIE1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Max Fricke · ZIE1
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Max Fricke · ZIE1
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 27 → 26 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h E
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 29 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| ZIE | TOR | ZIE | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Tonder | 5 | 3.6 | 11 | +7.4 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 6 | 10.0 | 14 | +4.0 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 7.4 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Nile Tufft | 3 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Fabian Ragus | 3 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Karol Żupiński | 2 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 7.9 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Jack Holder | 6 | 13.0 | 12 | -1.0 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 1 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Matej Zagar | 4 | 5.8 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Robert Lambert | 6 | 12.0 | 9 | -3.0 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 4 | 4.1 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.5 | 5 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.