CZE vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, June 4, 2021 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Leon Madsen2 1 3 3 211+1
- 10Kacper Woryna2 3 2 1 210+4
- 11Bartosz Smektała3 2 0 3 311
- 12Jonas Jeppesen1 1 1 14+1
- 13Fredrik Lindgren3 3 3 2 112+1
- 14Jakub Miśkowiak2 3 05
- 15Mateusz Świdnicki1 2 03+2
- 1Grigorij Laguta1 1 1 D D3
- 2Krzysztof Buczkowski0 0 22
- 3Jarosław Hampel0 3 1 2 0 06+1
- 5Mikkel Michelsen2 2 2 3 3 315
- 6Wiktor Lampart3 0 2 1 17+2
- 7Mateusz Cierniak0 00
- 8Dominik Kubera1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2*
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB1
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE2
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE1*
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE2*
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB1
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE1
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE1
- Grigorij Laguta · LUBD
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1*
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Grigorij Laguta · LUBD
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 18 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h S
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 47 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| CZE | LUB | CZE | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +22 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 5.2 | 10 | +4.8 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 10.8 | 15 | +4.2 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 9.1 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 8.2 | 11 | +2.8 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 5 | 5.7 | 7 | +1.3 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 9.9 | 11 | +1.1 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 3 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 4 | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 3 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 3 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Dominik Kubera | 3 | 4.1 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 6 | 9.6 | 6 | -3.6 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 10.0 | 3 | -7.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.