ZIE vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 30, 2021 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Mateusz Tonder2 1 3 0 3 09+1
- 10Max Fricke1 2 0 25
- 11Matej Zagar0 00
- 12Piotr Protasiewicz0 1 3 1 1 17
- 13Patryk Dudek1 2 2 0 05
- 14Nile Tufft0 0 00
- 15Fabian Ragus1 0 01
- 16Jan Kvech00
- 1Artem Laguta1 3 2 39
- 2Gleb Chugunov3 1 1 2 18+1
- 3Dan Bewley3 2 3 3 314+1
- 4Tai Woffinden2 3 1 2 311+2
- 5Maciej Janowski2 3 2 2 211+3
- 6Przemysław Liszka2 3 16+2
- 7Michał Curzytek3 0 14+1
Heat by heat
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE2
- Artem Laguta · WRO1
- Matej Zagar · ZIE0
- Michał Curzytek · WRO3
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO2*
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE1
- Nile Tufft · ZIE0
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Max Fricke · ZIE1
- Nile Tufft · ZIE0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Matej Zagar · ZIE0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE1*
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Nile Tufft · ZIE0
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1*
- Max Fricke · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO1*
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2
- Michał Curzytek · WRO1*
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 17 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h NW
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.6 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 44 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 5 | 19 | −14 | +14 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| ZIE | WRO | ZIE | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -6 | 27 % |
| 3 | -10 | 7 % |
| 4 | -14 | – |
| 5 | -18 | – |
| 6 | -20 | 6 % |
| 7 | -20 | 4 % |
| 8 | -22 | 1 % |
| 9 | -22 | 1 % |
| 10 | -22 | 2 % |
| 11 | -26 | 1 % |
| 12 | -26 | 0 % |
| 13 | -30 | 0 % |
| 14 | -32 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 6.1 | 14 | +7.9 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 6 | 4.1 | 9 | +4.9 |
| Przemysław Liszka | 3 | 2.6 | 6 | +3.4 |
| Michał Curzytek | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 6 | 7.0 | 7 | +0.0 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 11.7 | 11 | -0.7 |
| Artem Laguta | 4 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Jan Kvech | 1 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 12.4 | 11 | -1.4 |
| Fabian Ragus | 3 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Max Fricke | 4 | 6.9 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Nile Tufft | 3 | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Matej Zagar | 2 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 9.4 | 5 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.