GOR vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 28, 2021 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Szymon Woźniak2 2 2 2 210+3
- 10Anders Thomsen3 1 3 0 310+1
- 11Martin Vaculik3 2 2 3 010
- 12Marcus Birkemose0 0 1 01+1
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik2 2 3 3 313
- 14Kamil Nowacki1 W1
- 15Wiktor Jasinski3 1 15+1
- 1Adrian Miedziński0 0 11
- 2Paweł Przedpełski3 3 0 2 19
- 4Chris Holder2 1 2 3 19+1
- 5Jack Holder1 3 3 1 2 212
- 6Krzysztof Lewandowski2 13
- 7Kamil Marciniec0 0 0 00
- 8Robert Lambert1 3 1 1 06+1
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR3
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR2
- Kamil Nowacki · GOR1
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Marcus Birkemose · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Marcus Birkemose · GOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1*
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Marcus Birkemose · GOR1*
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Marcus Birkemose · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15 → 11 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h NW
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 5.8 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 68 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GOR | TOR | GOR | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 3 | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 7.4 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Jack Holder | 6 | 11.2 | 12 | +0.8 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.4 | 13 | +0.6 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 2 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 10.8 | 10 | -0.8 |
| Kamil Nowacki | 3 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Marcus Birkemose | 4 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 4 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 8.8 | 6 | -2.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.