CZE vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 28, 2021 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Fredrik Lindgren3 2 0 3 08
- 10Jonas Jeppesen2 1 2 W5+2
- 11Bartosz Smektała2 3 1 3 211+3
- 12Kacper Woryna2 1 2 05
- 13Leon Madsen0 3 3 3 312
- 14Jakub Miśkowiak3 3 0 39
- 15Mateusz Świdnicki2 U 24+2
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki0 1 12
- 3Paweł Miesiąc1 2 1 1 16+1
- 4Kenneth Bjerre0 0 2 2 26
- 5Nicki Pedersen3 3 3 1 2 012+1
- 6Denis Zieliński1 1 0 02
- 7Mateusz Bartkowiak0 00
- 8Norbert Krakowiak1 2 3 1 18+1
Heat by heat
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE2*
- Paweł Miesiąc · GRU1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE2*
- Denis Zieliński · GRU1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GRU0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU1
- Leon Madsen · CZE0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE2*
- Denis Zieliński · GRU1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU0
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE3
- Paweł Miesiąc · GRU2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE1*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GRU0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Paweł Miesiąc · GRU1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU3
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE1*
- Denis Zieliński · GRU0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU1*
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE3
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE2*
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU1
- Denis Zieliński · GRU0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Paweł Miesiąc · GRU1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU1*
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE2*
- Paweł Miesiąc · GRU1
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15 → 12 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h W
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 67 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| CZE | GRU | CZE | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norbert Krakowiak | 5 | 4.6 | 8 | +3.4 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 8.7 | 11 | +2.3 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 4 | 7.5 | 9 | +1.5 |
| Paweł Miesiąc | 5 | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 10.9 | 12 | +1.1 |
| Kacper Woryna | 4 | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 3 | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Denis Zieliński | 4 | 2.0 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 4 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 13.4 | 12 | -1.4 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.2 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 3 | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 10.7 | 8 | -2.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.