WRO vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 16, 2021 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 10Maciej Janowski3 2 3 2 3 013+1
- 11Gleb Chugunov3 3 2 2 3 114+1
- 12Dan Bewley0 1 3 1 1 17+2
- 13Artem Laguta2 3 3 3 1 315+1
- 14Mateusz Panicz0 00
- 15Michał Curzytek1 01
- 16Przemysław Liszka1 12
- 1Szymon Woźniak1 1 1 0 03+1
- 2Anders Thomsen1 2 2 0 2 29+2
- 3Martin Vaculik0 2 1 0 25+1
- 4Marcus Birkemose0 00
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik2 1 3 3 2 314
- 6Wiktor Jasinski3 2 0 05
- 7Kamil Nowacki2 02+1
Heat by heat
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Martin Vaculik · GOR0
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR3
- Kamil Nowacki · GOR2*
- Michał Curzytek · WRO1
- Mateusz Panicz · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1*
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR2
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO1
- Marcus Birkemose · GOR0
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Marcus Birkemose · GOR0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1*
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Kamil Nowacki · GOR0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1*
- Mateusz Panicz · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Anders Thomsen · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1*
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Artem Laguta · WRO1
- Martin Vaculik · GOR0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 11 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h SW
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.1 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 60 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| WRO | GOR | WRO | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gleb Chugunov | 6 | 7.8 | 14 | +6.2 |
| Artem Laguta | 6 | 11.8 | 15 | +3.2 |
| Dan Bewley | 6 | 5.2 | 7 | +1.8 |
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 4 | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Kamil Nowacki | 2 | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| Przemysław Liszka | 2 | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Michał Curzytek | 2 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 14.7 | 14 | -0.7 |
| Anders Thomsen | 6 | 10.3 | 9 | -1.3 |
| Marcus Birkemose | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Mateusz Panicz | 2 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 6.8 | 3 | -3.8 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.6 | 5 | -4.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.