ZIE vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 9, 2021 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Piotr Protasiewicz0 1 0 01+1
- 10Max Fricke3 2 1 1 07
- 11Patryk Dudek3 3 2 3 3 216
- 12Damian Pawliczak2 1 0 14
- 13Matej Zagar1 1 1 03+1
- 14Nile Tufft2 2 04+2
- 15Fabian Ragus3 0 14
- 16Jan Kvech11
- 1Szymon Woźniak2 2 2 3 09+2
- 2Anders Thomsen0 3 3 3 2 112
- 3Martin Vaculik1 0 2 2 27+3
- 4Rafał Karczmarz1 23+1
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 2 3 3 3 317
- 6Wiktor JasinskiM 0 0 11
- 7Kamil Pytlewski1 01
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE3
- Nile Tufft · ZIE2*
- Kamil Pytlewski · GOR1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GORM
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE2
- Matej Zagar · ZIE1*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Nile Tufft · ZIE2*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE1
- Martin Vaculik · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Matej Zagar · ZIE1
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Matej Zagar · ZIE1
- Nile Tufft · ZIE0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Max Fricke · ZIE1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR2*
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE1
- Kamil Pytlewski · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Max Fricke · ZIE1
- Matej Zagar · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Max Fricke · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 19 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h SE
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 39 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 4 | 14 | −10 | +10 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| ZIE | GOR | ZIE | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -8 | 8 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 10.0 | 16 | +6.0 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 15.1 | 17 | +1.9 |
| Damian Pawliczak | 4 | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Fabian Ragus | 3 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Nile Tufft | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Anders Thomsen | 6 | 11.0 | 12 | +1.0 |
| Jan Kvech | 1 | 0.3 | 1 | +0.7 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 2 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 8.1 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Kamil Pytlewski | 2 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 4 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Matej Zagar | 4 | 5.5 | 3 | -2.5 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 10.5 | 7 | -3.5 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 4 | 5.2 | 1 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.