LUB vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 21, 2021 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Grigorij Laguta3 3 3 2 112
- 10Krzysztof Buczkowski3 0 0 W3
- 11Jarosław Hampel0 1 2 3 28+1
- 13Mikkel Michelsen3 3 3 2 314
- 14Wiktor Lampart2 2 1 16+3
- 15Mateusz Cierniak3 1 15
- 16Dominik Kubera1 2 M 03
- 1Adrian Miedziński1 0 2 3 06+1
- 2Paweł Przedpełski2 2 1 2 07+1
- 4Chris Holder1 0 01
- 5Jack Holder0 2 3 1 28
- 6Krzysztof Lewandowski1 0 1 02
- 7Kamil Marciniec0 11+1
- 8Robert Lambert2 3 2 1 3 314
Heat by heat
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Jack Holder · TOR0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1*
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Dominik Kubera · LUBM
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 16 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h SW
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 48 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LUB | TOR | LUB | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 7.7 | 14 | +6.3 |
| Robert Lambert | 6 | 11.4 | 14 | +2.6 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 9.7 | 12 | +2.3 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 3 | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 4 | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 2 | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 7.9 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 4 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Dominik Kubera | 4 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 10.7 | 8 | -2.7 |
| Chris Holder | 3 | 5.7 | 1 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.