GOR vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 23, 2021 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Bartosz Zmarzlik3 2 1 0 39+1
- 10Anders Thomsen1 1 2 2 28+2
- 11Szymon Woźniak1 3 1 2 07
- 12Rafał Karczmarz1 0 01
- 13Martin Vaculik3 3 2 1 312+1
- 14Kamil Nowacki0 0 00
- 15Wiktor Jasinski3 1 3 07
- 1Leon Madsen2 2 0 1 16+1
- 2Jonas Jeppesen0 00
- 3Bartosz Smektała0 1 1 02+1
- 4Kacper Woryna2 2 3 2 110+2
- 5Fredrik Lindgren2 0 2 3 29+1
- 6Jakub Miśkowiak2 3 3 3 314
- 7Mateusz Świdnicki1 3 1 05+1
Heat by heat
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE0
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE1*
- Kamil Nowacki · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Kamil Nowacki · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE0
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1*
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE1
- Kamil Nowacki · GOR0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1*
- Leon Madsen · CZE0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1*
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers → Thunderstorm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h SW
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.9 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GOR | CZE | GOR | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 8.1 | 14 | +5.9 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 5.3 | 10 | +4.7 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 4 | 2.6 | 7 | +4.4 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 4 | 2.8 | 5 | +2.2 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 10.6 | 12 | +1.4 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 8.4 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Kamil Nowacki | 3 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 8.6 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 2 | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 9.4 | 6 | -3.4 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.5 | 9 | -3.5 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 5.9 | 2 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.