LUB vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 25, 2021 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Grigorij Laguta0 3 3 W W6
- 10Krzysztof Buczkowski1 1 0 13
- 11Jarosław Hampel3 3 1 310+1
- 13Mikkel Michelsen3 3 1 3 212+2
- 14Wiktor Lampart2 3 2 07+1
- 15Mateusz Cierniak3 0 14
- 16Dominik Kubera2 2 2 1 310+2
- 1Dan Bewley1 1 2 15+2
- 2Maciej Janowski0 1 2 2 2 29+2
- 3Gleb Chugunov2 1 2 3 3 1 W12+1
- 4Artem Laguta2 0 0 3 2 3 111+1
- 6Przemysław Liszka1 0 01
- 7Michał Curzytek0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1*
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2*
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO1
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2*
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB1
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2*
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1
- Artem Laguta · WRO0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB1
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1*
- Artem Laguta · WRO0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1*
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO0
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2*
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB1
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2*
- Artem Laguta · WRO1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 6 → 1 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h NW
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LUB | WRO | LUB | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +14 | 100 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 7.9 | 12 | +4.1 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 7 | 8.0 | 12 | +4.0 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 6.3 | 10 | +3.7 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 4 | 4.3 | 7 | +2.7 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 4 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Dan Bewley | 4 | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 3 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Przemysław Liszka | 3 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Michał Curzytek | 3 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 9.9 | 6 | -3.9 |
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 14.1 | 9 | -5.1 |
| Artem Laguta | 7 | 16.6 | 11 | -5.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.