GRU vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 25, 2021 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Krzysztof KasprzakW 1 0 01+1
- 10Kenneth Bjerre2 2 1 05
- 11Norbert Krakowiak1 1 3 05+1
- 12Przemysław Pawlicki0 2 2 3 1 19+1
- 13Nicki Pedersen1 3 3 2 1 010
- 14Mateusz Bartkowiak1 1 13+2
- 15Denis Zieliński3 0 25+1
- 1Szymon Woźniak3 1 2 2 210+3
- 2Anders Thomsen2 2 3 W 310+1
- 3Martin Vaculik2 1 3 3 312+1
- 4Marcus Birkemose3 0 0 14+1
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 2 213+2
- 6Kamil Pytlewski0 0 00
- 7Wiktor Jasinski2 0 13
Heat by heat
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU1
- Denis Zieliński · GRU3
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GRU1
- Kamil Pytlewski · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Marcus Birkemose · GOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GRU1*
- Kamil Pytlewski · GOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Marcus Birkemose · GOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1*
- Denis Zieliński · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU1*
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GRU1*
- Marcus Birkemose · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU1*
- Kamil Pytlewski · GOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Marcus Birkemose · GOR1*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU0
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU3
- Denis Zieliński · GRU2*
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Anders Thomsen · GORW
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 7 → 4 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 13 km/h N
- gusts up to 44 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 72 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 2 | 10 | −8 | +8 | |
| GRU | GOR | GRU | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 5.4 | 9 | +3.6 |
| Denis Zieliński | 3 | 1.6 | 5 | +3.4 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 10.6 | 12 | +1.4 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 4 | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Marcus Birkemose | 4 | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 9.6 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.6 | 13 | +0.4 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 3 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 10.3 | 10 | -0.3 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 3 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 11.6 | 10 | -1.6 |
| Kamil Pytlewski | 3 | 3.9 | 0 | -3.9 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 4 | 5.5 | 1 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.