CZE vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Saturday, April 24, 2021 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Fredrik Lindgren3 3 3 3 113
- 10Jonas Jeppesen2 D 1 D 25+1
- 11Bartosz Smektała1 1 3 3 311
- 12Kacper Woryna0 0 1 01
- 13Leon Madsen2 3 2 1 311
- 14Jakub Miśkowiak2 1 03+2
- 15Mateusz Świdnicki3 2 05+1
- 1Damian Pawliczak0 00
- 2Piotr Protasiewicz1 1 2 2 17
- 3Max Fricke2 3 1 2 2 212+1
- 4Matej Zagar3 2 3 1 D9+2
- 5Patryk Dudek3 2 2 3 010
- 6Fabian Ragus0 0 00
- 7Jakub Osyczka1 1 13+1
- 8Jan Kvech00
Heat by heat
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE1
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE0
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2*
- Jakub Osyczka · ZIE1
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Matej Zagar · ZIE3
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1*
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Matej Zagar · ZIE2*
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE1
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Jakub Osyczka · ZIE1
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZED
- Matej Zagar · ZIE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Max Fricke · ZIE1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE1
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2
- Matej Zagar · ZIE1*
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Jakub Osyczka · ZIE1*
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2*
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZED
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Matej Zagar · ZIED
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 9 → 7 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h NW
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 59 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| CZE | ZIE | CZE | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 3 | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 10.7 | 13 | +2.3 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 7.8 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 10.1 | 12 | +1.9 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 9.2 | 11 | +1.8 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 7.3 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Jakub Osyczka | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Jan Kvech | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 11.8 | 11 | -0.8 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 3 | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 8.2 | 7 | -1.2 |
| Damian Pawliczak | 2 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 5 | 7.0 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Fabian Ragus | 3 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Kacper Woryna | 4 | 4.0 | 1 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.