GOR vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 11, 2021 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Rafał Karczmarz0 1 0 01
- 10Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 3 315
- 11Martin Vaculik3 3 2 3 213+2
- 12Szymon Woźniak1 1 3 3 08
- 13Anders Thomsen3 2 1 2 311+1
- 14Wiktor Jasinski2 1 03
- 15Kamil Nowacki1 0 01+1
- 1Jarosław Hampel1 3 2 1 29+2
- 2Krzysztof Buczkowski0 1 1 2 15+2
- 3Grigorij Laguta2 2 2 2 D D8+1
- 4Mark KarionW0
- 5Mikkel Michelsen2 2 3 1 1 110
- 6Wiktor Lampart0 0 00
- 7Mateusz Cierniak3 2 0 16+1
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR2
- Kamil Nowacki · GOR1*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB1
- Kamil Nowacki · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Kamil Nowacki · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1
- Grigorij Laguta · LUBD
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB1*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1
- Grigorij Laguta · LUBD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 17 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h SE
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.6 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 38 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GOR | LUB | GOR | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 7.4 | 10 | +2.6 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.9 | 15 | +2.1 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 10.9 | 13 | +2.1 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 9.3 | 11 | +1.7 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 4 | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 3 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Mark Karion | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Kamil Nowacki | 3 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 4 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 6 | 11.0 | 8 | -3.0 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 3 | 3.5 | 0 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.