LUB vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Thursday, September 23, 2021 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 10Krzysztof Buczkowski3 1 0 1 05+1
- 11Jarosław Hampel0 1 0 2 2 16
- 13Mikkel Michelsen0 2 3 2 2 312
- 14Wiktor Lampart3 0 03
- 15Mateusz Cierniak2 0 13+2
- 16Dominik Kubera2 3 3 3 0 3 216+1
- 1Tai Woffinden3 1 2 1 07
- 2Gleb Chugunov3 3 1 3 010+1
- 3Artem Laguta1 1 2 15+1
- 5Maciej Janowski2 2 3 3 111+1
- 6Przemysław Liszka1 1 02+1
- 7Michał Curzytek0 0 00
- 8Dan Bewley2 2 1 3 210+1
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Artem Laguta · WRO1
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO1
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO1*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Artem Laguta · WRO1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB1
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB1*
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Artem Laguta · WRO1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Drizzle
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h SW
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 84 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| LUB | WRO | LUB | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik Kubera | 7 | 11.6 | 16 | +4.4 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 6.1 | 10 | +3.9 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 6.8 | 10 | +3.2 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 9.0 | 11 | +2.0 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 11.4 | 12 | +0.6 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 3 | 3.0 | 3 | -0.0 |
| Przemysław Liszka | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 5.8 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 3 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 6 | 7.6 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Michał Curzytek | 3 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 10.0 | 7 | -3.0 |
| Artem Laguta | 4 | 10.0 | 5 | -5.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.