LUB vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 12, 2021 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Grigorij Laguta1 1 D W2+1
- 11Jarosław Hampel0 3 1 2 17+2
- 12Krzysztof Buczkowski0 2 2 2 28+1
- 13Mikkel Michelsen2 3 3 311
- 14Wiktor Lampart3 1 04
- 15Mateusz Cierniak2 2 1 05+3
- 16Dominik Kubera3 2 2 1 210
- 1Szymon Woźniak2 1 1 3 18+1
- 2Anders Thomsen1 0 3 1 3 08
- 3Martin Vaculik3 1 1 0 38+1
- 4Marcus Birkemose0 00
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 2 3 2 316
- 6Wiktor Jasinski1 2 0 03
- 7Kamil Nowacki0 00
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB1
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Kamil Nowacki · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Marcus Birkemose · GOR0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB2*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Marcus Birkemose · GOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Anders Thomsen · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB1*
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Grigorij Laguta · LUBD
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB2
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1*
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Kamil Nowacki · GOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Martin Vaculik · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 16 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h SW
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 92 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| LUB | GOR | LUB | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 6.7 | 11 | +4.3 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 5.1 | 8 | +2.9 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 4 | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 15.6 | 16 | +0.4 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 4 | 3.0 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 8.3 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 3 | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| Kamil Nowacki | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Marcus Birkemose | 2 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Anders Thomsen | 6 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 4 | 7.1 | 2 | -5.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.