WRO vs ZIE

PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, August 20, 2021 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław

Results

WRO 53 : 37 ZIE
WRO
ZIE

Heat by heat

Heat 160.60 s4:2
Heat 262.05 s5:1
Heat 361.00 s4:2
Heat 461.31 s3:3
Heat 560.91 s5:1
Heat 661.65 s2:4
Heat 761.32 s4:2
Heat 861.66 s3:3
Heat 961.67 s3:3
Heat 1061.82 s4:2
Heat 1161.56 s2:4
Heat 1261.47 s4:2
Heat 1361.65 s4:2
Heat 1462.26 s5:1
Heat 1561.49 s1:5

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Showers → Cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
20 → 17 °C
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Wind
6 km/h S
gusts up to 15 km/h
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
1.7 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
78 %
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4168+8−8
5–7117+4−4
8–10108+2−2
11–13108+2−2
14–156600
WROZIEWROZIE

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead WRO
5101520115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+279 %
2+689 %
3+894 %
4+893 %
5+1297 %
6+1097 %
7+1299 %
8+1298 %
9+1299 %
10+1499 %
11+12100 %
12+14100 %
13+16100 %
14+20100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Max Fricke69.715+5.3
Patryk Dudek610.313+2.7
Maciej Janowski59.812+2.2
Gleb Chugunov57.29+1.8
Dan Bewley47.49+1.6
Przemysław Liszka32.94+1.1
Michał Curzytek32.42-0.4
Mateusz Tonder10.50-0.5
Nile Tufft21.51-0.5
Damian Pawliczak31.20-1.2
Piotr Protasiewicz57.36-1.3
Jakub Osyczka43.11-2.1
Tai Woffinden59.77-2.7
Matej Zagar33.81-2.8
Artem Laguta513.310-3.3

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 62.2660.60 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 35.3:24.7 outside C + D
Trend ◀ +0.90 towards the inside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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