LUB vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Monday, July 26, 2021 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Grigorij Laguta0 3 3 28+1
- 10Krzysztof Buczkowski1 1 13+1
- 11Jarosław Hampel3 2 2 3 313+1
- 13Mikkel Michelsen2 3 W 2 310+2
- 14Wiktor LampartT 2 1 36
- 15Mateusz Cierniak3 0 1 W4
- 16Dominik Kubera3 1 3 3 212+2
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki2 2 2 0 06
- 2Norbert Krakowiak0 1 D 12+1
- 3Krzysztof Kasprzak1 0 2 1 26+2
- 4Kenneth Bjerre3 3 3 1 2 113
- 5Nicki Pedersen1 2 1 D4
- 6Mateusz Bartkowiak2 0 0 02
- 7Seweryn OrgackiD 00
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU1*
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GRU2
- Seweryn Orgacki · GRUD
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2*
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU1
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB1*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GRU0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB1
- Seweryn Orgacki · GRU0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU2*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB1
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRUD
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2*
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GRU0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GRU0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU1
- Nicki Pedersen · GRUD
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU2
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUBW
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 18 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h SE
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 7.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 93 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 9 | +5 | −5 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LUB | GRU | LUB | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +1 | 77 % |
| 3 | +5 | 90 % |
| 4 | +5 | 90 % |
| 5 | +5 | 90 % |
| 6 | +5 | 88 % |
| 7 | +7 | 95 % |
| 8 | +3 | 83 % |
| 9 | +5 | 89 % |
| 10 | +9 | 96 % |
| 11 | +13 | 100 % |
| 12 | +15 | 100 % |
| 13 | +19 | 100 % |
| 14 | +19 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 8.0 | 13 | +5.0 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 7.7 | 12 | +4.3 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 8.9 | 13 | +4.1 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 4 | 4.0 | 4 | -0.0 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 4 | 6.4 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 4 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 10.9 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 4 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Seweryn Orgacki | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 4 | 4.1 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.1 | 6 | -2.1 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 4 | 8.6 | 4 | -4.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.