GOR vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 1, 2021 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Marcus Birkemose1 01
- 10Anders Thomsen3 2 2 07+1
- 11Martin Vaculik2 1 3 2 311
- 12Rafał Karczmarz0 0 11
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik2 1 3 39
- 14Oliwier RalcewiczD 00
- 15Kamil Pytlewski1 D 0 01
- 1Tai WoffindenW 2 1 14+1
- 2Gleb Chugunov1 3 0 15+1
- 3Artem Laguta3 3 17+1
- 4Dan Bewley2 2 2 39+1
- 5Maciej Janowski3 3 D6
- 6Przemysław Liszka3 1 26
- 7Michał Curzytek2 1 25+1
Heat by heat
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Marcus Birkemose · GOR1
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO3
- Michał Curzytek · WRO2*
- Kamil Pytlewski · GOR1
- Oliwier Ralcewicz · GORD
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO1
- Kamil Pytlewski · GORD
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Kamil Pytlewski · GOR0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Michał Curzytek · WRO1
- Marcus Birkemose · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Artem Laguta · WRO1*
- Oliwier Ralcewicz · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Maciej Janowski · WROD
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Anders Thomsen · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Michał Curzytek · WRO2
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1*
- Kamil Pytlewski · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR
- Maciej Janowski · WRO
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR
- Artem Laguta · WRO
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 17 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h SW
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 78 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 4 | 14 | −10 | +10 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| GOR | WRO | GOR | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -10 | 9 % |
| 6 | -14 | 4 % |
| 7 | -16 | 4 % |
| 8 | -16 | 1 % |
| 9 | -12 | 1 % |
| 10 | -10 | 7 % |
| 11 | -12 | 0 % |
| 12 | -12 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Bewley | 4 | 5.4 | 9 | +3.6 |
| Przemysław Liszka | 3 | 3.2 | 6 | +2.8 |
| Michał Curzytek | 3 | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 10.0 | 11 | +1.0 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Marcus Birkemose | 2 | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 3 | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 4 | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Kamil Pytlewski | 4 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Oliwier Ralcewicz | 2 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Artem Laguta | 4 | 9.2 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Maciej Janowski | 4 | 8.7 | 6 | -2.7 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.1 | 9 | -3.1 |
| Tai Woffinden | 4 | 7.4 | 4 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.