GOR vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, July 23, 2021 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Szymon Woźniak3 3 3 2 112+1
- 10Rafał Karczmarz2 1 0 0 14+1
- 11Martin Vaculik2 2 2 3 211+1
- 12Anders Thomsen1 D 1 02+1
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 3 214
- 14Wiktor Jasinski3 W 14
- 15Kamil Pytlewski1 0 01
- 1Max Fricke1 2 2 3 1 09+1
- 2Piotr Protasiewicz2 1 1 2 06+2
- 3Damian Pawliczak0 U0
- 4Matej Zagar3 1 2 1 310
- 5Patryk Dudek0 3 2 3 2 313
- 6Jakub Osyczka2 1 0 14+1
- 7Nile TufftW0
Heat by heat
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Max Fricke · ZIE1
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE0
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR3
- Jakub Osyczka · ZIE2
- Kamil Pytlewski · GOR1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Matej Zagar · ZIE3
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR2
- Jakub Osyczka · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Matej Zagar · ZIE1
- Anders Thomsen · GORD
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Kamil Pytlewski · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Matej Zagar · ZIE2
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIEU
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1*
- Jakub Osyczka · ZIE0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Matej Zagar · ZIE1
- Anders Thomsen · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Jakub Osyczka · ZIE1*
- Kamil Pytlewski · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Max Fricke · ZIE1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Matej Zagar · ZIE3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1*
- Max Fricke · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 19 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h N
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 64 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GOR | ZIE | GOR | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 8.5 | 13 | +4.5 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 9.1 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 13.3 | 14 | +0.7 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 3 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Jakub Osyczka | 4 | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 5 | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 11.7 | 11 | -0.7 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 7.0 | 6 | -1.0 |
| Kamil Pytlewski | 3 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Damian Pawliczak | 2 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Nile Tufft | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Anders Thomsen | 4 | 6.3 | 2 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.