LUB vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, July 2, 2021 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Grigorij Laguta3 3 3 312
- 10Krzysztof Buczkowski1 1 1 14+1
- 11Jarosław Hampel0 3 2 2 07+1
- 13Mikkel Michelsen3 3 3 2 314
- 14Wiktor Lampart3 2 2 18+1
- 15Mateusz Cierniak2 1 14+2
- 16Dominik Kubera0 2 3 1 39+1
- 1Max Fricke2 2 1 2 2 211
- 2Piotr Protasiewicz1 0 0 3 0 15+2
- 3Mateusz Tonder1 W 01+1
- 4Matej Zagar3 u3
- 5Patryk Dudek2 2 1 0 3 08
- 6Fabian Ragus1 D 0 01
- 7Nile Tufft0 W0
- 8Damian Pawliczak1 23
Heat by heat
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE1
- Nile Tufft · ZIE0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
- Matej Zagar · ZIE3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB1
- Fabian Ragus · ZIED
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2*
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2*
- Max Fricke · ZIE1
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB1*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 19 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h NW
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.7 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 75 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LUB | ZIE | LUB | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +24 | 100 % |
| 12 | +24 | 100 % |
| 13 | +24 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 9.9 | 14 | +4.1 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 4 | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 4 | 5.7 | 8 | +2.3 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 |
| Damian Pawliczak | 2 | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 7.8 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 3 | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Matej Zagar | 1 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 3 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Nile Tufft | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Fabian Ragus | 4 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 9.7 | 7 | -2.7 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 11.3 | 8 | -3.3 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 6 | 9.7 | 5 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.