ZIE vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 27, 2021 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Matej Zagar3 1 3 1 311+1
- 10Max Fricke2 3 1 1 18
- 11Piotr Protasiewicz1 3 3 3 111
- 12Mateusz Tonder0 0 1 23
- 13Patryk Dudek2 2 3 3 010
- 14Jakub Osyczka0 00
- 15Fabian Ragus1 0 0 01
- 1Leon Madsen2 3 2 3 313
- 2Jonas Jeppesen1 1 02
- 3Bartosz Smektała0 2 2 04
- 4Kacper Woryna3 1 1 0 27+3
- 5Fredrik Lindgren3 0 0 2 05
- 6Jakub Miśkowiak3 1 2 2 210
- 7Mateusz Świdnicki2 2 15+2
Heat by heat
- Matej Zagar · ZIE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE2*
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE1
- Jakub Osyczka · ZIE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE1
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1
- Jakub Osyczka · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1*
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE1
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE2
- Matej Zagar · ZIE1
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1*
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Matej Zagar · ZIE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Max Fricke · ZIE1
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE1
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE2
- Matej Zagar · ZIE1*
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE1*
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Max Fricke · ZIE1
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE0
- Matej Zagar · ZIE3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2
- Max Fricke · ZIE1
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h N
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 39 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| ZIE | CZE | ZIE | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 7.2 | 11 | +3.8 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 7.5 | 11 | +3.5 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 3 | 2.8 | 5 | +2.2 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 10.9 | 13 | +2.1 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 7.6 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 4 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 10.0 | 10 | +0.0 |
| Fabian Ragus | 4 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Jakub Osyczka | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 3 | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 7.2 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 10.0 | 5 | -5.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.