GOR vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, June 25, 2021 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Szymon Woźniak3 3 T 1 W7
- 10Anders Thomsen3 2 W 0 38+1
- 11Martin Vaculik2 3 3 3 112+1
- 12Rafał Karczmarz3 0 1 04
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik1 2 3 3 312
- 14Kamil Pytlewski0 0 00
- 15Wiktor Jasinski3 0 2 16
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki0 1 3 2 28+1
- 2Krzysztof Kasprzak0 3 1 2 17
- 3Kenneth Bjerre1 2 1 15+2
- 4Roman Lakhbaum2 1 2 3 08+1
- 5Nicki Pedersen2 1 2 2 29
- 6Denis Zieliński2 1 03+1
- 7Seweryn Orgacki1 0 01+1
Heat by heat
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR3
- Denis Zieliński · GRU2
- Seweryn Orgacki · GRU1*
- Kamil Pytlewski · GOR0
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Roman Lakhbaum · GRU2
- Denis Zieliński · GRU1*
- Kamil Pytlewski · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Roman Lakhbaum · GRU1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU1
- Seweryn Orgacki · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Roman Lakhbaum · GRU2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1*
- Kamil Pytlewski · GOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU1
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Denis Zieliński · GRU0
- Roman Lakhbaum · GRU3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU2
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Seweryn Orgacki · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Roman Lakhbaum · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h W
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| GOR | GRU | GOR | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Lakhbaum | 5 | 3.8 | 8 | +4.2 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 4 | 3.4 | 6 | +2.6 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 6.3 | 8 | +1.7 |
| Denis Zieliński | 3 | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 4 | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 11.6 | 12 | +0.4 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 4 | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 9.9 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 13.0 | 12 | -1.0 |
| Seweryn Orgacki | 3 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 10.4 | 8 | -2.4 |
| Kamil Pytlewski | 3 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.